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By Jason Michael
On my last speaking tour around Scotland, at every event, I predicted exactly what Brexit means. This prediction proved to be frighteningly on target. Before taking up his Prime Ministerial office, Boris Johnson was briefed by Britain’s security chiefs on what a no-deal Brexit would cause. All cross-Channel trade would cease, sixty-six million people in the United Kingdom would be faced with dangerous food shortages and left without access to essential and life-saving medicines. Within days the currency would collapse; driving the British state to the brink of state failure, and the government would be threatened with widespread mass demonstrations, civil disorder, and rioting. Whitehall insiders reported that on hearing this Johnson turned a whiter shade of pale. With all his bluff and bluster, he had no idea how serious a situation Britain is in.
This too I predicted. After an extension, I said, the May administration would collapse and bring the hard Brexit battalion to government under the leadership of Johnson – and here we are. At Buckingham Palace Mrs Windsor asked Boris Johnson to form a government, and that he set about at lightning speed. He had the Cabinet purged in a matter of hours, replacing moderate incompetence with fanatical incompetence; leaving us with Priti Patel – a women in favour of the death penalty and starving Ireland – as Home Secretary and Dominic Raab – the man who didn’t know the importance of trade with Europe – as Foreign Secretary. David Mundell – a capable yet self-serving sycophant – he called in and promptly sacked as Scottish Secretary. In all the changes he has made one thing is clear, even to BBC Scotland’s Nick Eardley who described it as an “afternoon of the long knives:” that this is the most right-wing government Britain has ever had.
But it won’t last. That was my final prediction. Johnson cannot deliver the Brexit he has promised, and that promise is the only reason he is where he is tonight. Ireland’s Taoiseach, Leo Varadkar, spoke for the whole of the European Union when he said Britain’s new Prime Minister was not living on this planet; Europe is not going to reopen the Article 50 negotiations. May agreed to the only deal that was ever going to be on the table. She was packed off back to London to ratify it – a task which proved to be far beyond her extremely limited abilities and that ultimately brought about her demise. Boris Johnson will not be offered anything different. He is left with the exact same problem: May’s deal or no-deal at all and all the chaos that promises. Boris – the joker – has no ace up his sleeve.
Having painted himself even before coming to office into a corner, he has no option but to reject May’s deal and leave on the 31 October – as he has promised – without a deal, but he can’t do that either. No-deal can’t happen and May’s deal can’t happen. No Brexit can happen. On the surface that sounds wonderful, but even that option can’t happen. The utter stupidity and arrogance of the British government has brought us to a place where all three options are impossible – and that is where the real trouble begins, when Boris Johnson shows the British public that he is even more useless than his predecessor. At that point his government will collapse and the real forces behind an ultra-right-wing no-deal Brexit will come to power. Boris Johnson is the prelude to British fascism. He has set himself up as the warm-up act for Nigel Farage and the Brexit Party.
At every stage of the Brexit disaster Farage has been the darker shadow of what passes for democracy in the United Kingdom. Yes, we have laughed him off, thinking him incapable of winning a Westminster election. That has been true – until now. At the last European elections, the Brexit Party became the most successful new political party in the history of both the UK and the EU, becoming the largest single party in the European parliament. Of course, we can point out the difference between Westminster’s FPTP and Brussel’s PR electoral systems. Under normal conditions Farage has no hope of winning seats in Westminster, but these are not normal times. Boris Johnson’s support is entirely contingent on his ability to deliver the Brexit the hard Brexiteers want. His problem is that he can’t deliver this. Only Farage can, and the moment this becomes clear to English voters we will see how quickly their loyalties shift from the right to the far-right.
Every one of the commitments made today by our new Prime Minister outside Number 10 cannot be delivered. At best, over the next few weeks and month, we will be fed a diet of platitudes, slogans, and outright lies. But, as the saying goes, Johnson is all fur coat and no knickers. In a previous essay I believe I hit the nail on the head when I described Johnson as the Anton Drexler of British politics. He is the placeholder leader who will make the monster to come more palatable. As Drexler made the way straight for Adolf Hitler’s rise to power, so will Boris Johnson make straight the paths for the rise of Nigel Farage and a new era of British politics that will haunt us for the rest of history.
This is terrible news for Scotland. In fact, everything is terrible for Scotland right now. The Scottish government has tied us to a programme of obedience in which we must seek permission from Westminster for another independence referendum – a permission that will never be granted under the more aggressive administrations of Johnson and Farage. On the ground we have a popular movement diseased with corrupt personality cults and wasters, plagued with Trumpist notions and conspiracy theories, and thousands upon thousands of independence supporters scattered like sheep after the shepherd has fallen. We have neither the steel of courageous leadership nor a mass movement equipped for revolution. We are – and it breaks my heart to say it – like lambs to the slaughter. Our predicament is dire, and unless it changes we are approaching the end. We are about to be led by the nose into the darkness – a place we do not wish to go.
Boris Johnson’s first speech as Prime Minister in full
8 thoughts on “Doomed to Failure”
We are sheep to the slaughter unless WM is TOLD we are voting NOW on independence and should the result be 50.1% YES then we will defend that result and woe betide pompous SE brats who try and stop us. No one WANTS a struggle but WM is going to keep us a colony unless we draw a red line and have punitive measures ready should THEY initiate violence against our Sovereign decision
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Much as I respect and enjoy your blogs I can’t accept this extremely depressing view of our future. The corrupt organisers can and must be replaced. I don’t believe our Scottish Government will sit back and accept the scenario you’ve painted.
It’s very dangerous times we find ourselves in but we must and hopefully will prevail.
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” I can’t accept this” ….this is exactly why Scotland is where it is now.
People have not wanted to believe that this is possible because it upsets their “nice” values….but this darkness has been in the UK all along (what do you think colonialism was?). What is new is that it is turning this on its home populations.
People need to get real now, or buckle up for a very dark ride.
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I think that your analysis and predictions show insight! Thanks!
You are so frighteningly correct Jason
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Sadly, people have been screaming this for over a year now. (Jeggit and Peter Bell for example)
Too many have fallen for each and every Brexit “dead cat” distraction…hence, they never questioned what Westminster was really doing. I wrote over a year a go, that when things don’t match what you THINK Westminster should be doing…look at what they are REALLY doing. Westminster were never interested in ports, boarders, or customs duties.
What they have done is assemble a truely frightening legislative power.
– Henry VIII powers
– Emergency powers – army on the streets
– Arming the police
– Stock piling body bags.
– Unwinding the GFA
– Dismantling Devolution / Supersizing the Scotland Office as a govt in waiting
– Even noises of a new Act of Union..
They can do ports later…
What is most scary for the UK is it appears that by wrapping a fundamental constitutional question entirely within the executive, the government has found the source code to rewrite the rules as it desires
I weep for Scotland and her beautiful kind people…for this way darkness comes.
You are 100% correct and I too have had severe reservations as to Nicola sturgeons commitment to independence since shortly after she was elected leader of the SNP Now we are approaching the end game and it is not looking good with the SNP basically throwing all their eggs in one basket by trying to legitimise the utterly false claim that independence can only go ahead with the consent of Westminster. Sturgeon is not just incompetent, she is anti-independence.
Reblogged this on Ramblings of a 50+ Female.