By Jason Michael

Theresa May has little to offer Donald Trump other than the value of the black gold in Scottish water. With access to this the Trump administration can become an economic success, but, by breaking Britain, Trump too may be broken. It’s always oil.

Your average American may not spend too much time worrying about what happens on the other side of the Atlantic, let alone what happens in Scotland’s constitutional debate – and why should he or she? Compared to the United States Scotland – with a population of less than 5.3 million people – is a blip on the western edge of Europe. Scottish independence is a debate arising from a colonial history they barely understand. Colorado, a US State with about the same population as Scotland, seldom figures in the minds of Scots. Why should your average American bother spending much time thinking about Scotland and our struggle to break away from British domination?


Under the previous Administration the Scottish independence debate was academic in the United States, but Donald Trump has changed all this – and the future of Scotland can have a profound effect on the democratic future of the United States. Willing to risk igniting a war between NATOs European members and Russia, President Trump has expressed his intention to “tame” the European Union and destabilise it the way the US “brought down the Soviet Union.” Aligning himself thus with Putin’s Russian agenda vis-à-vis the EU, Trump hopes to effectively swallow up and monopolise trade with the United Kingdom when it leaves the European single market.

Such a move, if successful, would – by making the UK a satellite US economy – guarantee for the Trump administration a massive stake in Britain’s $2,858 billion economy, representing 4.61 percent of the global economy.  This would be the absolute economic vindication of Trumpism, flooding the US economy with extra cash and jobs – and doubtlessly securing him a second term and a place in the history books of American expansionism. Moreover, as a coup for Donald Trump’s unconventional style of governance, it would ensure that Trumpism continues into future White House foreign and economic policy. This is the way things are going.

Scotland may be the fly in the ointment. The UK is the only member of the EU that produces oil, and all of that oil is in Scottish waters. Oil is the reason that London hopes to hold onto Scotland and why Brussels hopes Scotland remains an EU member after Brexit is complete in 2019. It is also this oil that makes Theresa May’s offer to the US so attractive to President Trump. Otherwise, as Trump has said, Prime Minister May has “nothing to offer.” As part of the United Kingdom Scotland now has two years to secure its independence from the UK before the Brexit Article 50 negotiations are complete. The outcome of this will have far-reaching implications for the future of any US-UK trade deal, and so for those working to oust Trump and Trumpism Scotland has become important.

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Trump’s War on Scotland


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